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Non-ferrous metal pattern analysis and prospects of the Spring Festival

by:AAA     2020-04-24
( Industry news] Pattern analysis and prospects of non-ferrous metal Spring Festival sanewcable P since the author summarizes the operation situation of non-ferrous metal prices during the Spring Festival, in order to provide some reference for investors to smooth the feast. System of 'golden week' began in the year, the author will data sample time period began in the year, the domestic zinc ( ,。 ,。 %) Contract began in the year at the end of the reference data since years. After the domestic city stop during every Spring Festival, foreign markets, applies this time, as well as the domestic Spring Festival after checking the price comparison in consideration of the day, we see years at home and abroad during the Spring Festival of copper and aluminum prices rise more fall less, in a sample years, Shanghai copper ( ,。 ,。 %) Up in down years, average inflation. %; Copper up years down years, average inflation. %; Shanghai aluminum ( ,。 ,。 %) Up in down years, average inflation. %; Aluminum up years down the years, the average inflation. %。 It is clear that foreign markets on average than the domestic market. And zinc prices due to the statistical sample is less, and in years of financial crisis phase, so the advisory co. , LTD. From the point of correlation coefficient, the domestic with abroad during the Spring Festival is Spring Festival on the first day after checking price trend higher consistency of operation. Among them, copper correlation coefficient reached at home and abroad. , aluminum correlation coefficient reached at home and abroad. Despite low zinc statistical sample, but there are still close. About the performance. We can draw the basic conclusion, domestic basic is the price of the Spring Festival on the first day after operation of outside dish price movements during the festival and correct it. In addition, we also found several phenomena from the correlation coefficient matrix list, domestic aluminum, zinc prices on the first day of checking the size of the correlation coefficient is up to. , zinc and aluminum, and Aaron, the correlation coefficient of as much as during the holiday. Shanghai copper and zinc correlation coefficient is up to. 。 We got from the high correlation between the results analysis, if Aaron aluminum during the festival, the trend of zinc of consistency is higher, so checking the domestic Shanghai movements of zinc, aluminum, Shanghai will be more consistent. In addition, we can refer to the performance of Shanghai copper checking on Aaron zinc or aluminum's performance during the holiday. After the price of the main is determined by foreign city price movements during the holiday, so the analysis the factors affecting foreign non-ferrous metal prices during the Spring Festival is especially important. Generally speaking, the time of day or so for colored varieties, including variety characteristics such as seasonal factors, a great change of supply-and-demand probability is extremely low, and the data plane affect the magnitude of the larger. Although the data published in the United States during the Spring Festival is not much, but the degree of importance. The author thinks that, during the Spring Festival abroad market fundamentals neutral preference, the dollar index may continue weak oscillation morphology, the stable international non-ferrous metal prices play a supporting role, combined with the previous results provided by law, we see many holidays, domestic non-ferrous metal prices carefully, recommends that investors can be first leave a small amount of single or short positions. http / / www。 sanewcable。 com
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